Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2 88%Führend unter 4 Optionen
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26
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet3. Apr. 26, 02:11 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many problems written by me will be on the 2027 OTIS Mock AIME
Manifold MarketsHow many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c5h3808234_mock_jmo
- Resolves to the number of distinct problems of the "JMO mock" (which was an april fools joke btw) above that will have at least one 7 point solution submitted to me by December 31st, 2026.
- Any submission is acceptable, including submissions that were not done in time conditions or by someone who would normally be ineligible for any olympiad (eg, someone who is >18 years old).
- Groupsolving is also permitted.
- However, me submitting a solution to my own problem does not count.
- I think MOHS predictions are around 30 45 50 or so, but may be wrong.
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 210.956,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 110.461,9 €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.315,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2 mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 entschieden?
- How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c5h3808234_mock_jmo