Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 03:24 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
October 2026 1.395C or more and less than 1.445C 43%+3.6ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+10.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet12. Okt. 26, 22:53 UTC15. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?
Manifold MarketsWill Denver never have a below-average temperature year between 2020 and 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill the global average yield of rice exceed 4.75 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of rice exceed 4.74 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of rice exceed 4.78 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExRegeln
Data is currently at csv file or
- (or such updated location or updated version for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data see data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt )
- January 2024 might show as 124 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.24C above the 1951-1980 base period.
- If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C.
- Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.
- If the version or base period changes then I will consult with traders over what is best way for any such change to have least effect on betting positions or consider N/A if it is unclear what the sensible least effect resolution should be.
