Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 14:06 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsUkraine holds elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever visit Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, an official decree, legislative resolution, or regulatory decision is enacted by an authorized Ukrainian government body—specifically the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament), the President of Ukraine, or the Central Election Commission (CEC)—that officially schedules and sets a specific calendar date (or dates) for a nationwide presidential or parliamentary election.
- The scheduled date of the voting itself may occur in 2027 or later, provided that the formal legal act of calling/scheduling the election and assigning it a calendar date is completed and announced before January 1, 2027.
- Notes and Edge Cases:
- Postponements: If an election is officially scheduled before the deadline but is subsequently postponed, rescheduled, or canceled after December 31, 2026, this market still resolves to YES (as the act of calling the election occurred within the timeframe).
- Conditional/Vague Statements: General statements of intent, political promises, or tentative timelines (e.g., "elections will occur 90 days after a ceasefire") do not suffice to resolve YES unless a specific calendar date is officially decreed or legislated by the government.
