Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 71.4%
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Veraltet16. März 23, 18:55 UTC11. Aug. 22, 21:43 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill trump say or write "effective altruism"?
Manifold MarketsWill Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Effective Altruism lasting for a thousand years, will EAs still say that this was their finest hour?
Manifold MarketsWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Kalshi👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This is a permanent market; it will never resolve.
- The goal is for you to use it to express your own opinions and/or turn a profit by predicting other people's opinions.
- Bet YES if you're in favor of the subject of the market or believe other people will come to have a more favorable opinion of it in the future, bet NO if you view the subject of the market unfavorably or believe others will come to view it as such.
- This market is about Effective Altruism.
