Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
One-OffSociety & Culture3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 62.9%
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13. Dez. 22, 07:27 UTC1. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves subjectively.
- What this might include is a noticeable split into e.g. longtermist and neartermist.
- For example, with a large (>10%) minority of members of either groups stopping to identify as part of broader EA generally.
- Open to hashing out more objective criteria.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 63% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? entschieden?
- Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves subjectively.