KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 1 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
At least 1 97.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
At least 1 97.5%Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
211,5 €
Open Interest
841,7 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 1Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
1. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 1
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMajor news report of ideological filtering of would-be resident in Praxis city project (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsMajor news report linking Praxis city project and (neo) Feudalism (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsIn what year will there next be a big news story about human genetic engineering in China?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketDid Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:New York Times
- How this is resolved This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 1
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 5 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 10 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 15
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 15 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.