Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocratic Party 95%+1.1ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
10. Apr. 24, 17:564. Nov. 26, 7:59
Trends
0.1%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic Party95%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 95% | — | 2936,4 € | 534.068 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 95% | — | — | — | vor 23 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
California Governor winner?
0.3 pts1J
+0.3pt95%
-0.3pt5%
86 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen1 Mio. €
24h-Volumen2936,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Novor 9 Tagen
KALSHIRepublican party — Novor 9 Tagen$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 Tagen$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 TagenVerwandte Märkte
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.