Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 24.07.2026, 13:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocratic Party 95.2%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet10. Apr. 24, 16:344. Nov. 26, 7:59
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic Party95%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt87% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 92% | — | 887 € | 75.142,4 € | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Polymarket64% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Mittel | 95% | — | 4,5 € | 22.304,4 € | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 95% | — | — | — | vor 4 Tagen | |
 PredictIt88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 95% | — | — | — | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Massachusetts?
10Mon
95%
5%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Massachusetts Governor winner?
0.7 pts1J
-1.5pt91.1%
+0.7pt8.9%
75 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen91.430,4 €
24h-Volumen887 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
0.5 pts3Mon
+0.5pt95%
5%
0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
67 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen31.964,7 €
24h-Volumen4,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$508. Juli5T Daten24. Juli
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.