FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitXavier Becerra 95%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
29 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
2537,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätTrader
32
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California Governor Election: Turnout
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PolymarketIf This CA Gov candidate makes the runoff, will they win the California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketCalifornia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event aims to predict which candidate will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market containing the corresponding winner of the election will resolve to “Yes”, while all others will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by January 31, 2027, all markets will be cancelled.
- Resolution is based on reporting by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- Once all three sources call the race for the same candidate, this event will be resolved.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, Futuur will rely on official vote certification to resolve the event.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? · Democratic Party 97%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 97%
