Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Xavier Becerra 94.1%
Marktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
108,8 €
Liquidität
530.924,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.1% / 95.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
10. Jan. 25, 15:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Xavier Becerra95%
Plattformen vergleichen· Xavier Becerra
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 95% | — | 108,8 € | 530.924,1 € | vor 15 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 98% | — | — | — | vor 46 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3Mon
97.8%
1.9%
0.2%
Community-Prognose27 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Novor 9 Tagen
KALSHIRepublican party — Novor 9 Tagen$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 10 Tagen$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 TagenVolumentrend
$1242. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.