KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitXavier Becerra 95%-0.4pt
Marktqualitat
83 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
765,5 €
Liquidität
532.542,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.2% / 5.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
10. Jan. 25, 15:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Steve Hilton5%
Plattformen vergleichen· Xavier Becerra
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 95% | — | 765,5 € | 532.542,5 € | vor 25 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 95% | — | — | — | vor 6 Stunden | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3Mon
+1.1pt95%
-1.1pt4.9%
0.1%
Community-Prognose29 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Novor 10 Tagen
KALSHIRepublican party — Novor 10 Tagen$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 11 Tagen$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 Tagen$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 Tagen
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yesvor 12 TagenVolumentrend
$8722. Juli28T Daten29. Juli
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.