Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJan 1st 2050 40%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet22. Sept. 25, 13:03 UTC1. Jan. 00, 14:02 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If the Whitehouse officially acknowledges that non-human intelligence exists and has been kept hidden from the public (official disclosure) all future dates will resolve "yes".
- As dates pass in the absence of official public acknowledgement, they will resolve "no".
- Update 2025-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, non-human intelligence means intelligent life not created by modern human technology.
- A Yes includes official Whitehouse acknowledgement of: aliens (extraterrestrial, interdimensional, oceanic), angels, ancient artificial intelligence not created by modern humans, or a hidden fork of biological life.
- Recognition or rights granted to intelligence produced by modern AI research does not qualify.
- The acknowledgement must state that such intelligence exists and has been intentionally kept from the public.
