Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
China 82%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet12. Jan. 24, 02:58 UTC3. Jan. 32, 19:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Manifold MarketsHow many people will have walked on the Moon, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will have walked on Mars, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegeln
This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.
- To add countries, please use a simple, English, colloquial name for the country.
- I reserve the right to make good faith edits to new answers in order to match the style.
- This market closes a few days after New Year’s Day to allow for clarity around potential ambiguous circumstances.
- Related markets:
- @/jks/by-2030-which-countries-will-have-c
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet China mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) entschieden?
- By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) soll am 3. Januar 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.