Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026
KIManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Other (97.9%)
Entschieden: 06.08.2026, 17:48
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 97.9%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 52 Tagen
Veraltet23. Nov. 25, 18:5530. Juni 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
40-50%0.5%
50-60%0.8%
60-70%0.8%
Other97.9%
97.9%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
Regeln
Currently, the best-performing models on SWE-Bench Pro score only 43.60% (claude-4-5-Sonnet) on the public dataset.
- This market asks what the highest score will be on the public SWE-Bench Pro leaderboard by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC
- SWE-Bench Pro contains 1,865 total tasks across 41 professional repositories, with the public set containing 731 instances.
- The benchmark contains complex, long-horizon tasks requiring edits across multiple files and repositories.
- Resolution: Market resolves to the highest % Resolved score achieved by any model on the public SWE-Bench Pro leaderboard at https://scale.com/leaderboard/swe_bench_pro_public by June 30, 2026.
- This market resolves to N/A if Scale AI discontinues the benchmark or stops measuring new models
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 158.784,7 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 168.787,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 155.168,3 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,9 Mio. €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 98% (Stand: 30. Juni 2026).
- Wann wird Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026 entschieden?
- Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026 soll am 30. Juni 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Currently, the best-performing models on SWE-Bench Pro score only 43.60% (claude-4-5-Sonnet) on the public dataset.