Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83.2% (Stand: 28. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? entschieden?

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.

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Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves according to this leaderboard: https://artificialanalysis.ai/?omniscience=omniscience-hallucination-rate.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+17.9pt48%
• Claude-17.3pt42.9%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt6.5%

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Gesamtvolumen

14,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

149.408,8 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.2pt95%
• December 15,+1.0pt93%
• November 30,-2.0pt87%

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POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+15.5pt50.5%
• Anthropic-14.5pt41.4%
• OpenAI-0.2pt6.1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.5pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.4pt24%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.7pt16%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.7pt98%
• Anthropic-3.4pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-7.5pt22%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.4pt20%
• $1.5T–$1.75T-1.4pt16%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

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• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
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