Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?
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Veraltet23. Nov. 25, 22:48 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolves according to this leaderboard: https://artificialanalysis.ai/?omniscience=omniscience-hallucination-rate.
- The metric we are looking it as percentage of non-correct answers that are hallucinations.
- To count, the model must be somewhere close to frontier, defined by being a release by a major lab that is larger than 7b parameters and competitive for its size class.
- No tool use allowed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? entschieden?
- Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves according to this leaderboard: https://artificialanalysis.ai/?omniscience=omniscience-hallucination-rate.