At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Russland / UkraineOne-OffManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82.9%
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6. Mai 24, 07:27 UTC31. Dez. 49, 19:59 UTC
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Something like "Republic of Sakha", "Sakha federation", "Yakut republic" etc. would also count.
- The purpose of this market is to predict if the Sakha republic would secede from Russia.
- If a country with a similar name is member of the UN that has no relation whatsoever to the Sakha republic that is currently part of Russia, this is not enough to trigger a YES resolution.
- This question refers to some kind of descendant of the current Sakha republic.
- Check out my similar markets about Siberia in general, as well as Chechnya
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/wadimiusz/at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w-577334d56c4e):
