KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Russia / Russian 89%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Russia / Russian 89%Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6539,8 €
Open Interest
6448 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 17:30 UTC19. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketMore than 1000 cases of Irkutsk Plague?
Manifold MarketsWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsWill a case linked to the Irkutsk plague be reported outside Irkutsk Oblast by November 1?
Manifold MarketsWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If any host or reporter says Russia / Russian as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution. Please see full rules for more details. Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Russia / Russian
- If any host or reporter says Russia / Russian as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pneumonic / Plague
- If any host or reporter says Pneumonic / Plague as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dubai / Tel Aviv
- If any host or reporter says Dubai / Tel Aviv as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Supreme Court
- If any host or reporter says Supreme Court as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If any host or reporter says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine
- If any host or reporter says Marine as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If any host or reporter says Iran / Iranian as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (5+ times)
- If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If any host or reporter says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gatorade
- If any host or reporter says Gatorade as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy
- If any host or reporter says Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wildfire
- If any host or reporter says Wildfire as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Climate Change
- If any host or reporter says Climate Change as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Unemployment
- If any host or reporter says Unemployment as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Romo
- If any host or reporter says Romo as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.