KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before May 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before May 1, 2027 28%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Before May 1, 2027 28%Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
15.853,9 €
Open Interest
52.375,9 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before May 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
8. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC1. März 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before May 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiHow many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
KalshiWhich senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run?
KalshiRegeln
If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before May 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before May 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before May 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jun 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.