Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?
6.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-Politik1Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAbdul El-Sayed 92%+6.0ptFührend unter 31 Optionen
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6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+42.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
13. Nov. 26, 20:53 UTC3. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiHow many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
KalshiWill Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the named outcome publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
