KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 66%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2027 66%Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1408,4 €
Liquidität
3807,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran hold a presidential election?
KalshiRegeln
If the United States and Iran hold a senior-level diplomatic meeting after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The meeting must be deliberately convened for diplomacy or negotiation, and each country must be represented by at least one senior official who actively participates in an official capacity.
- It need not produce an agreement, joint statement, or commitment to further talks.