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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will Iran hold a presidential election?
Will Iran hold a presidential election?

Will Iran hold a presidential election?

0.3% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlMiddle East20T
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 2%-0.3%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

5,9 €

Liquidität

378,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.7% / 2.0%

Spread

185.7%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

1. März 26, 15:001. Juli 26, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jul 1, 20262%

Regeln

If Iran holds a presidential election before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

228.389,6 €
Benjamin Netanyahu: 41%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

1676,8 €
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Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

791 €
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Manifold Markets

Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?

751,7 €
Bibi netanyahu: 40.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

14,4 €
Naftali Bennett: 35%KalshiKALSHI
What will be the results of Israel's next election?

What will be the results of Israel's next election?

9,5 €
> 20 new MKs (who never been in the Knesset before): 91.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,675.87+2.28%EthereumETH$1,650.93+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.74%XRPXRP$1.12+0.37%BNBBNB$595.38+1.70%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsPeru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.NewsBurnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.News

Regeln

If Iran holds a presidential election before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.