KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitEric Trump 47%+3.0%Führend unter 52 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3348,9 €
Liquidität
150.272,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
47.0% / 51.0%
Spread
8.5%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
8. Juni 26, 21:0021. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Eric Trump47%
Verwandte Märkte
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
525.153,9 €Gavin Newsom: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467.843,9 €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
431.538,2 €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
377.730,7 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
370.024,8 €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
125.702,7 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Robin Smith has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date.
- The pardon can be for any federal crime.
- Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion.
- State-level pardons do not count.
- The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.