PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Daniel Penny 34%+3.0ptFührend unter 28 Optionen
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4165,1 €
Liquidität
275.842,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.3% / 3.8%
Spread
2.5 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-5.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
18. Nov. 25, 15:5031. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Daniel Penny34%
Plattformen vergleichen· Keonne Rodriguez
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 14% | 0pt | 4165,1 € | 275.842,8 € | vor 6 Minuten | |
 Kalshi70% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 18% | +4pt | 682,1 € | 192.437,8 € | vor 26 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
2.1 pts5Mon
92%
23%
19%
+31 weitere Ergebnisse
66 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen378.635,2 €
24h-Volumen682,1 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.3k93.6%KALSHIDerek Chauvin — Novor 18 Tagen
KALSHIDerek Chauvin — Novor 18 TagenVolumentrend
$4.7k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.