Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Any Trump family member 80.3%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet3. Dez. 25, 17:09 UTC21. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump pardon or commute SBF's sentence?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
KalshiWill Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power
- Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025).
- The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.
- Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Puerto Rico officials do not count as state-level officials for the purposes of this market, as Puerto Rico is not a state.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Any Trump family member mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) entschieden?
- [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power