KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Karoline Leavitt 100%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
16.298,4 €
Liquidität
1,8 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
13. Dez. 25, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PolymarketWho will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
If the named outcome leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABC News AustraliaBloomberg NewsCNBCCNNDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFox NewsMSNBCofficial government records and registriespersonPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is heldthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostBBC
- the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Karoline Leavitt 100%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 50%
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 855.727,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 683.406,4 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.092 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 602,9 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 215.189,4 €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Karoline Leavitt mit 100% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? entschieden?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Futuur, Polymarket, Limitless gelistet.