KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
gemini-4-argon-high 94.2%+1.0ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
gemini-4-argon-high 94.2%+1.0ptMarktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4306,3 €
Open Interest
20.512,9 €
Mittleres Open InterestMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
28. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC5. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Top AI model this month
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiRegeln
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6-high
- If claude-opus-4-6-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5-max
- If claude-opus-5-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- gemini-3.8-flash-high
- If gemini-3.8-flash-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.