KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 14.10.2026, 00:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2029 30%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2029 30%Marktqualitat
25 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
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Open Interest unbekanntGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 55 Minuten
Verzogert10. Okt. 26, 19:45 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Regeln
If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Sanae TakaichiThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office of JapanCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement that merely acknowledges the end of Sanae Takaichi's term as Liberal Democratic Party president, such as confirming the leadership election date, does not count; an announcement that she will not seek another term counts. A formal resignation after which she continues in office and is re-designated, such as the Cabinet's resignation en masse after a House of Representatives election, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
