KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 49.4% (99%)
Entschieden: 17.10.2026, 16:45
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 17.10.2026, 13:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Above 55.1%28%
Above 56.1%1%
Above 67.0%1%
Above 61.6%7%
Above 49.4%Gewonnen
Above 56.1%Verloren
Above 61.6%Verloren
Above 65.5%Verloren
Above 55.1%Verloren
Above 69.0%Verloren
Above 69.7%Verloren
Above 67.0%Verloren
Above 73.8%Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
KalshiWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 49.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 16, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 49.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 49.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 56.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 56.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 61.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 61.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 65.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 55.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69.0%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 69.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 69.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 67.0%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 67.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 73.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 73.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.