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Daten vom 13.10.2026, 10:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
DUP · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
DUP 47%Führend unter 6 Optionen
DUP 47%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
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Open Interest unbekanntGeld / Brief
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DUPSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
12. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC5. Mai 28, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · DUP
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count Only the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count Seats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- DUP
- If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- UUP
- If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sinn Féin
- If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alliance
- If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDLP
- If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TUV
- If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
