KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2029 34%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2029 34%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
449,6 €
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
10. Okt. 26, 19:45 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiSanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
KalshiClaudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
KalshiMark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
KalshiWill Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Narendra ModiThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office of IndiaCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Narendra Modi will not lead the Bharatiya Janata Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election. A formal resignation after which he continues in office and is reappointed, such as the customary resignation after a general election, also does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
