KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocrats, 4+ pts 67%+1.0%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
264,6 €
Liquidität
1172,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
65.0% / 70.0%
Spread
7.7%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
28. Apr. 26, 1:023. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democrats, 4+ pts67%
Volumentrend
$3014. Juli13T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory
2927,2 €Democrats, 76+ pts: 82%KALSHI
KALSHITennessee's 4th District margin of victory
2809,3 €Republicans, 24+ pts: 66%KALSHI
KALSHITennessee's 8th District margin of victory
2551,9 €Republicans, 25+ pts: 63%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida's 10th District margin of victory
2468,4 €Democrats, 45+ pts: 97%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
406,4 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 45%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 7th District margin of victory
263,7 €Democrats, 10+ pts: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- Senate election in New Hampshire by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.