KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocrats, 4+ pts 91%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
663 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
90.0% / 93.0%
Spread
3.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
29. Apr. 26, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democrats, 4+ pts91%
Verwandte Märkte
Florida's 28th District margin of victory
524,5 €Republicans, 14+ pts: 47%KALSHI
KALSHINorth Carolina Senate margin of victory
469,1 €Democrats, 9+ pts: 43%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida's 21st District margin of victory
437,1 €Republicans, 13+ pts: 49%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
303,2 €James Talarico, 1+ pts: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIIowa Senate margin of victory
244,7 €Republicans, 4+ pts: 39%KALSHI
KALSHIMissouri's 5th District margin of victory
218,6 €Republicans, 6+ pts: 58%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.