KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 85%
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,8 €
Liquidität
9821,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.4% / 15.0%
Spread
5.6 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
26. Jan. 26, 22:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes15%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 85% | — | 0,8 € | 9821,5 € | vor 9 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 132,8 € | 11.342,9 € | vor 27 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
0.1 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Nein (100%)
100%
0%
29 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen89.112 €
24h-Volumen132,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$0.943. Juli17T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
690.013,1 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
528.835,8 €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
92.050,8 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
37.688 €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
17.623,9 €Ja: 10%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.