KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Feb 3, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Feb 3, 2027 75%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Feb 3, 2027 75%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
241,4 €
Open Interest
1154,4 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Feb 3, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
21. Aug. 26, 19:00 UTC3. Feb. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Feb 3, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketKnesset vote of confidence in a new Israeli government in 2026
FutuurNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Defense?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
PolymarketRegeln
If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Knesset
- The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include: Parliamentary approval with binding effect A formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority An official statement by an authorized minister An official government press release A formal declaration during official government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances Statements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Proposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption Retraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment Where the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Feb 3, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 20, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 23, 2026
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Dec 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.