KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 20:25 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 7 19%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
6,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
4. Sept. 26, 16:30 UTC15. Sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
If Sep 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- If Sep 8, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sep 9, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi bewertet September 7 mit 19% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) entschieden?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) soll am 15. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Sep 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.