KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jul 7, 2026 4%-1.0%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.151,6 €
Liquidität
179.148,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
25. Juni 26, 20:307. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jul 7, 20264%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
GPT 5.6 release date?
Geschlossen
0%
0%
0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose85 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen19.496,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
GPT-5.6 released by...?
0.3%26T
+0.3%99%
-1.3%98%
+0.8%97%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
77 • Hohe QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen2,2 Mio. €
24h-Volumen70.498,4 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
GPT 5.6 released by…?
5Mon
0%
0%
0%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose61 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen42.579,8 €
24h-Volumen91,3 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
2739,2 €Before 2027: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
318.527 €Anthropic: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
79.712,6 €ChatGPT: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
44.308,4 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top AI model this week
21.885,2 €claude-fable-5: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-5.6 or greater before Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.