KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
claude-opus-5-high 61.7%+9.0ptFührend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
75 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
35.298,7 €
Liquidität
75.433,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
3. Aug. 26, 15:0031. Aug. 26, 14:00
Trends
Regeln
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AI
GEMINISeattle vs Tennessee
- Seattle62.5%
- Tennessee37.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 39.893,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 38.475,5 €
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026-0.5pt69%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.177,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.247,2 €
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32.891,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 32.891,5 €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.5pt93%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- ZEC price on August 28
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BTC price on August 24
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Top AI model in August?
- Kalshi bewertet claude-opus-5-high mit 62% (Stand: 24. August 2026).
- Wann wird Top AI model in August entschieden?
- Top AI model in August soll am 31. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Top AI model in August abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.