KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Emmanuel Macron 64.6%Führend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
114,6 €
Liquidität
6853,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 19:30 UTC1. Jan. 45, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationBloombergThe Washington PostAPAxiosThe New York TimesNBCPolitico
- The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title.
- An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.
- In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
- If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the individual holding the title of President of the United States at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which G7 leader will leave office next??
- Kalshi bewertet Emmanuel Macron mit 65% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which G7 leader will leave office next? entschieden?
- Which G7 leader will leave office next? soll am 1. Januar 2045 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which G7 leader will leave office next? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.