KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 09.09.2026, 05:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
74.0% / 82.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Burnham be PM at the time the next UK general election is announced?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from the European Commission qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Applications must be open on the European Union's own official ETIAS platform, and a limited or phased opening counts provided any eligible traveler can apply.
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An announced future start date, including one set by decision in the Official Journal Testing, or a pilot restricted to carriers, staff or officials Applications collected by a commercial or third-party website The later date on which an ETIAS becomes required for entry
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 617.449 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 821.515,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.747,7 €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? entschieden?
- Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.