KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k 19%+3.0ptFührend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1562 €
Liquidität
2791,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
5. Sept. 26, 20:00 UTC2. Okt. 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 170,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Offene Märkte
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 247.651,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 79.401,2 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.601,7 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 131.317,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.129,7 €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54.060,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 379.091,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9252,3 €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- CPI in November
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP?
- Kalshi bewertet U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k mit 19% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP entschieden?
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.