KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
387,3 €
Liquidität
13.023 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 3.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 21:3011. Sept. 26, 12:25
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 64.433,1 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.408,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.506,1 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 45.642,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6944,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6510,9 €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? entschieden?
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? soll am 11. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.