KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 14.09.2026, 11:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 23:30 UTC14. Okt. 26, 12:25 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCPI in September
KalshiUS shelter CPI in September
KalshiUS gasoline CPI for September
KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - September 2026
PolymarketRegeln
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 128,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.826,9 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.973,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.325,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6108 €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? entschieden?
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? soll am 14. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.