KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 1730K 99%Führend unter 11 Optionen
At least 1730K 99%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1509 €
Open Interest
45,3 €
Niedriges Open InterestSpread
20.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 16:30 UTC8. Okt. 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026
KalshiUS Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 8, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 15, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegeln
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1710K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 26, 2026. The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week. The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 1730K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1660K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1660K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1680K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1690K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1690K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1760K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1760K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1750K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1750K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1710K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1710K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1670K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1670K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1700K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1700K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1720K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1720K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1740K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.