KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 79%
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3722,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
21.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
27. Feb. 26, 20:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
KalshiWill any major U.S. city mandate remote work options for city employees by 2026?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressCNBCAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.0pt80.2%
- Yes-9.0pt19.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt53%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt53%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+15.0pt39%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-6.0pt81%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.0pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Jacky Rosen+0.5pt38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt37%
- Ruben Gallego-14.5pt35%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-7.0pt54%
- Above 55-22.0pt42%
- Above 58-8.0pt38%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
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- Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 79% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? entschieden?
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.