KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 440 89%+1.0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0,3 €
Liquidität
39,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
80.0% / 89.0%
Spread
11.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
2. Juli 25, 14:001. Jan. 30, 4:59
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 44089%
Verwandte Märkte
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
3741 €2: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
848,9 €432 or less: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
37,4 €Ja: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
1,2 €Before Jul 1, 2026: 70%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
0,1 €Ja: 77%KALSHI
KALSHI
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
0 €Ja: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 440 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 445 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 450 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 455 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 460 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.