KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigtVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.11.2026, 18:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2550,7 €
Open Interest
3222,6 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet9. Nov. 26, 21:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2028
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SNAP benefit restrictions become law?
KalshiWill LLM restrictions become law?
KalshiWill China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Manifold MarketsWill an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must impose a binding restriction or requirement on exports of advanced AI chips or of semiconductor manufacturing equipment or components. Export bans, license requirements or licensing standards, location-verification or other end-use security mechanisms on exported chips, mandatory congressional review of chip export licenses, and directives requiring the Bureau of Industry and Security to impose such controls, including by writing existing controls into statute, qualify. The restriction may be part of a broader law, such as the National Defense Authorization Act, and a later effective date does not delay qualification. Studies, reports, briefings, funding, sense-of-Congress provisions, and controls only on other goods, on investment, or on remote or cloud access to chips do not qualify. General sanctions, embargoes, or entity listings that restrict all exports to a country or company, without a restriction specific to chips or chipmaking equipment, do not qualify. An example of this is the Chip Security Act, which would require location verification on exported advanced AI chips.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
