KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above -0.40 98%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2675,2 €
Liquidität
3546,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 19:00 UTC21. Sept. 26, 12:24 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketUS active housing listings in September
KalshiFed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Canada Decision in December?
PolymarketRegeln
If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - CFNAI
- -0.40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.
- This market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 935.698,8 €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,5 Mio. €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Kalshi bewertet Above -0.40 mit 98% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August entschieden?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August soll am 21. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above