KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 07.11.2026, 02:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Oct 1, 2027 92%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Before Oct 1, 2027 92%Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3022,5 €
Open Interest
2771 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert6. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Oct 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will Andy Beshear say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
KalshiIf Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsIf Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Beshear win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Andy Beshear announce run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jun 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before May 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before May 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Andy Beshear has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.