Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
4.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffHandelspolitikGeopolitik5T
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 150 94%+4.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Above 150 94%+4.0ptMarktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6723,7 €
Open Interest
9524,7 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
25. Sept. 26, 16:30 UTC6. Okt. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessRegeln
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 175
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.