KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 4.8% 93%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3695,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 21:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 15:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
- Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q3 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.490,3 €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 44,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 4.8% mit 93% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026 entschieden?
- Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026 soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.