GeminiKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 90.2%Margenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6910,2 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
23. Dez. 25, 16:08 UTC1. Feb. 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in the 2026 election?
PredictItDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegeln
Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
3 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Democratic Party liegt bei 91%. Die Kurse liegen rund 2 Prozentpunkte auseinander. Die Handelsplätze sind sich nicht einig, welches Ergebnis vorn liegt.
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic Party 91% · 3 Plattformen · 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 88%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 92%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 93%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 91%
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.7pt98%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+38.0pt53.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.3pt45.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 326.023,6 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Gemini bewertet Democratic Party mit 90% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which party will win the U.S. House? entschieden?
- Which party will win the U.S. House? soll am 1. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which party will win the U.S. House? abgerechnet?
- Gemini rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- Wo wird Which party will win the U.S. House? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf PredictIt, Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi gelistet.